Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.074225e-05 0.000036 0.000042 0.000049 0.000057 0.000066 0.000075
2025-02-16 2.483809e-05 0.000032 0.000041 0.000052 0.000064 0.000078 0.000095
2025-02-23 1.934036e-05 0.000028 0.000038 0.000051 0.000067 0.000085 0.000109
2025-03-02 1.486160e-05 0.000023 0.000034 0.000049 0.000067 0.000090 0.000119
2025-03-09 1.186333e-05 0.000020 0.000031 0.000047 0.000069 0.000095 0.000130
2025-03-16 9.558181e-06 0.000018 0.000029 0.000046 0.000070 0.000100 0.000140
2025-03-23 7.915851e-06 0.000016 0.000028 0.000046 0.000072 0.000106 0.000152
2025-03-30 6.579104e-06 0.000014 0.000027 0.000046 0.000074 0.000111 0.000163
2025-04-06 5.271996e-06 0.000013 0.000025 0.000044 0.000074 0.000114 0.000171
2025-04-13 3.962665e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000042 0.000072 0.000114 0.000175
2025-04-20 3.097902e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000040 0.000072 0.000116 0.000182
2025-04-27 2.591035e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000040 0.000073 0.000121 0.000192
2025-05-04 2.025700e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000040 0.000075 0.000126 0.000204
2025-05-11 1.828376e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000042 0.000080 0.000138 0.000225
2025-05-18 1.397586e-06 0.000006 0.000018 0.000041 0.000081 0.000142 0.000236
2025-05-25 9.827404e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000039 0.000081 0.000144 0.000243
2025-06-01 7.160305e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000039 0.000081 0.000148 0.000253
2025-06-08 5.137450e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000038 0.000081 0.000151 0.000264
2025-06-15 3.799606e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000037 0.000083 0.000157 0.000276
2025-06-22 2.758821e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000037 0.000084 0.000162 0.000288
2025-06-29 1.783192e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000036 0.000084 0.000164 0.000296
2025-07-06 9.330502e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000034 0.000081 0.000163 0.000299
2025-07-13 5.068958e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000032 0.000081 0.000164 0.000305